Modelling of Index System of Economic Vitality During the COVID-19 Epidemic

نویسندگان

چکیده

Economic vitality is an important indicator to measure the level and potential of economic development. The paper puts forward three social problems about establishes a model solve them. We build panel data analyze influencing factors vitality. Based on section Beijing, VAR-VEC established long-term short-term effects policies development strategy ORT put forward, scheme promote growth given during COVID-19 epidemic. For first problem, preprocess data, test its independence, find that each factor not independent other. Through correlation analysis, we found there strong between various elements. After Random Effect Test Fixed combined with Hausman Test, conforms fixed effect model. Population change enterprise have positive impact vitality, are 0.01 0.07 respectively. adjusting overall structure enterprises improve second select Beijing city construct VARVEC ADF unit root Johansen cointegration test, at least relationships time series. use Ais-Sc Criterion determine order delay as third order. OLS estimation method get coefficients VEC Model. IRF response, policy effect. Due experience accumulation, presents W-shaped trend. minimum average deviation index 9 representative indexes. extract two main by analysis system from 2009 2017 calculated according system. Shanghai, Guangzhou Shenzhen often rank first, while Kunming Dongguan last. same results similar fourth review previous conclusions based

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of infectious diseases & travel medicine

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2640-2653']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.23880/jidtm-16000147